Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Mario Sandrini (Legnago)


	Legnago Salus		Luparense

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.35	3.95
	2.08	3.43	3.13	Watch
	1.82	3.38	3.95
	1.77	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.25)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	3.76 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
49%

Draw
26.7%

Luparense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legnago Salus's performance.

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luparense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legnago Salus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luparense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legnago Salus - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Aliu G. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Pellacani L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: )).

Legnago Salus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Luparense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Legnago Salus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Legnago Salus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Legnago Salus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie D - Group C
19.10.25	Treviso - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Union Clodiense - Legnago Salus	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Legnago Salus - Cjarlins Muzane	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Calvi Noale - Legnago Salus	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Legnago Salus - Brian Lignano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWL
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
19.10.25	Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Brian Lignano - Luparense	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Luparense - Mestre	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.10.25	Luparense - Union Clodiense	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Campodarsego - Luparense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
30.04.23	Luparense - Legnago Salus	1:0
17.12.22	Legnago Salus - Luparense	3:0
17.11.19	Luparense - Legnago Salus	2:3

Legnago Salus - Luparense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide