Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 3

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Mario Sandrini (Legnago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 255


	Legnago Salus		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.6	3	2.79
	2.59	3.05	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.57	2.85	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.17)	2.97 ↓ (3.12)	2.77 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
36%

Draw
30.8%

Vis Pesaro
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legnago Salus's form might have worsened.

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legnago Salus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-5%)

Legnago Salus - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toniolo G. (G) 6. Pelagatti C. (C) 27. Ampollini F. 26. Noce M. 23. Muteba V. 93. Franzolini A. 5. Viero F. 8. Casarotti E. 28. D'Amore F. 25. Bombagi F. 18. Rossi A.	22. Vukovic A. (G) 6. Palomba L. 26. Coppola F. 4. Bove D. 77. Afonso Peixoto 17. Paganini L. 7. Pucciarelli M. (C) 71. Tavernaro F. 30. Orellana C. 34. Cannavo K. 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
73. Ballan L. 99. Basso Ricci A. . Berto A. (G) 10. Demirovic E. 30. Ibrahim O. 4. Malumandsoko P. . Maset Y. 7. Palazzino F. 1. Rigon A. (G) 21. Ruggeri G. 9. Svidercoschi S. 17. Toma R. 14. Travaglini M.	19. Antolini J. 15. Ceccacci M. 16. D'Innocenzo F. 10. Di Paola M. 23. Forte M. 21. Gambino G. 18. Giorgini P. 37. La Rosa A. 11. Molina J. I. 1. Munari M. (G) 13. Neri G. M. 8. Nina C. 90. Okoro A. 5. Tonucci D. 3. Zoia R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Casarotti E. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
20', Ampollini F. 🟨,
22', Bove D. 🟨,
24', Muteba V. 🟨,
33', Pelagatti C. ↓, Ruggeri G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bombagi F. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
55', Afonso Peixoto 🟨,
59', Afonso Peixoto ↓, Di Paola M. ↑,
60', Tavernaro F. ↓, Zoia R. ↑,
65', Rossi A. 🟨,
68', Pucciarelli M. 🟨,
75', Nicastro F. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
75', Cannavo K. ↓, Molina J. I. ↑,
75', Rossi A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
75', Viero F. ↓, Toma R. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Di Paola M. ⚽,
87', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Ceccacci M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Legnago Salus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vis Pesaro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legnago Salus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Legnago Salus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
31.08.24	Campobasso - Legnago Salus	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Legnago Salus - Pontedera	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Legnago Salus - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Reggiana - Legnago Salus	5:2 ✺
31.07.24	Cittadella - Legnago Salus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
02.09.24	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
26.08.24	Sassari Torres - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Vis Pesaro - Fossombrone	4:1 ✺
29.07.24	Monza - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.21	Legnago Salus - Vis Pesaro	2:1
26.09.20	Vis Pesaro - Legnago Salus	2:2

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