Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno


	Vis Pesaro		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.05	2.02	Watch
	3.58	3.19	2.02	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.05
	3.83	2.92	2.01	Watch
	3.75	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.5)	2.97 ↓ (3.23)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
24.9%

Draw
30.6%

Arezzo
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

28.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

27.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arezzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vis Pesaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vis Pesaro - Arezzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arezzo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 15. Ceccacci M. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 6. Di Renzo G. 9. Nicastro F. 17. Paganini L. 13. Primasso A. 7. Pucciarelli M. 11. Stabile D. P. 21. Vezzoni F. 3. Zoia R.	22. Venturi G. (G) 24. Chierico L. 19. Chiosa M. 4. Coppolaro M. 13. Gilli M. 7. Guccione F. 17. Ionita A. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 37. Righetti S. 21. Tavernelli C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
37', Tavernelli C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Paganini L. 🟨,
57', Ceccacci M. 🟨,
60', Righetti S. 🟨,
61', Di Renzo G. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Ravasio M. ⚽,
70', Nicastro F. ↓, Machin J. ↑,
70', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
70', Chierico L. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
70', Pattarello E. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
73', Paganini L. 🟨,
77', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
77', Tavernelli C. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
84', Stabile D. P. ↓, Franchetti Rosada L. ↑,
84', Di Paola M. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
90', Machin J. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 3, Cianci P. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vis Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arezzo is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Arezzo - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.09%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
03.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
15.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWTT
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.26	Arezzo - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Forlì - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Arezzo - Pineto	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	0:0
02.09.24	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	3:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	1:3
Italian Serie C Group B
10.03.24	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	2:1
05.11.23	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	1:1

Vis Pesaro - Arezzo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide