The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leiknir Reykjavík 57.7%
Draw 20.5%
Ægir 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
23.2%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
19.5%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiknir Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiknir Reykjavík's performance.
Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiknir Reykjavík that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ægir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Leiknir Reykjavík - Ægir Predictions
Users Predictions:
Leiknir Reykjavík will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Olafsson O. (G) 33. Agustsson A. 7. Burknason B. 5. Halldorsson D. 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 22. Jonsson T. 55. Kjartansson A. 29. Stefansson G. 9. Tjorvason J. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
25. Tryggvason H. (G) 9. Adeyemo J. 11. Dabetic S. 50. Gateau B. 15. Gudjonsson S. O. 30. Gunnarsson B. 45. Ponjevic D. 24. Skoczylas P. L. 19. Stojanovic N. 21. Thrastarson D. 22. Willard H.
Substitutes
6. Arnason A. 3. Bogdanovic B. 12. Gorski J. (G) 20. Gunnarsson D. 80. Gurung K. 30. Kjartansson A. 16. Petursson V.
12. Jallow I. (G) 27. Panic M. 20. Sanabria A. 23. Stefansson S. 14. Vidarsson B. 17. Viggosson H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Hardarson A. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Kjartansson A. ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, Hardarson A. ⚽,
39', 4 - 0, Hlifarsson K. S. ⚽,
41', 4 - 1, Willard H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tryggvason H. ↓, Jallow I. ↑,
46', Dabetic S. ↓, Viggosson H. ↑,
53', Ponjevic D. 🟨,
58', 5 - 1, Hardarson A. ⚽,
58', Skoczylas P. L. ↓, Panic M. ↑,
59', Gunnarsson B. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
62', Burknason B. ↓, Kjartansson A. ↑,
62', Tjorvason J. ↓, Gunnarsson D. ↑,
70', 6 - 1, Kjartansson A. ⚽,
72', Stojanovic N. ↓, Stefansson S. ↑,
74', Hardarson A. ↓, Petursson V. ↑,
74', Hlifarsson K. S. ↓, Gurung K. ↑,
83', Kjartansson A. 🟨,
83', Halldorsson D. ↓, Arnason A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
Leiknir R is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ægir has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Leiknir R is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leiknir R won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Leiknir R won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.