Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Leiknisvöllur (Reykjavík)


	Leiknir Reykjavík		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.85	1.73
	3.55	4.09	1.72
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.68	3.82	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.93)	3.82 ↓ (4.28)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiknir Reykjavík
26.3%

Draw
23.9%

Keflavík
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

21.3%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

20.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiknir Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keflavík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keflavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Leiknir R (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Keflavík will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keflavík will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiknir R (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Keflavík (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olafsson O. (G) 17. Arnarson A. 3. Bogdanovic B. 25. Brkovic D. 44. Einarsson A. 20. Gunnarsson D. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 9. Tjorvason J. 10. Veseli S. 45. Vladisavljevic D.	21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 18. Bjarnason E. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Sigfusson K.
Substitutes
11. Agustsson G. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 4. Hryniewicki P. 14. Jonsson D. 55. Kjartansson A. 12. Petursson H. (G) 27. Tryggvason H.	42. Brynjarsson B. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 24. Gudmundsson G. 6. Magnusson S. 14. Mudrazija M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Sigfusson K. ⚽, Johannesson A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Elvarsson F. ⚽, Al Ghoul M. (A),
67', Gunnarsson D. 🟨,
68', Gunnarsson D. ↓, Hlifarsson K. S. ↑,
84', Bogdanovic B. ↓, Tryggvason H. ↑,
84', Arnarson A. ↓, Agustsson G. ↑,
84', Bjarnason E. ↓, Magnusson S. ↑,
90+1', Veseli S. 🟨,
90+1', Sigfusson K. ↓, Fridriksson S. ↑,
90+1', Al Ghoul M. ↓, Brynjarsson B. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiknir R won 0.

Leiknir R is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Keflavík is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Keflavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leiknir R won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:42. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiknir R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiknir Reykjavík
Icelandic Division 1
25.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Throttur Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Selfoss - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT
- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	Keflavík - Fjölnir	5:4 ✺
11.07.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Keflavík	3:2 ✺
07.07.25	Grindavik - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
03.07.25	Keflavík - Selfoss	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
23.05.25	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	6:0
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.25	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	5:4
Icelandic Division 1
14.08.24	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	0:0
05.06.24	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	5:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.10.22	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	1:7
08.08.22	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	1:2
12.05.22	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:0

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