The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Throttur Reykjavik 32.9%
Draw 23.9%
Keflavík 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
24.2%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
23.7%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Throttur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Throttur Reykjavik's form might have worsened.
Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keflavík's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Throttur Reykjavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keflavík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
50%
40%
Throttur Reykjavik - Keflavík Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Throttur will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Keflavík will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 5. Gudbergsson K. 27. Gudmundsson S. 9. Hafthorsson V. 21. Hardarson B. 32. Ingason A. 33. Ingvarsson U. 80. Jeffs L. 8. Stefansson B. (C) 25. Thorhallsson H.
21. Olafsson S. (G) 18. Bjarnason E. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 8. Gudmundsson A. 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. 14. Mudrazija M. 92. Sigfusson K.
Substitutes
6. Einarsson E. 7. Erlingsson E. 12. Jonsson B. (G) 22. Kristjansson K. 10. Sigurdsson J. 45. Sigurdsson V. 4. Thorhallsson N.
42. Brynjarsson B. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 10. Ljubicic S. 19. Osmani E. 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Saevarsson G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Hardarson B. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Ingason A. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Mudrazija M. ⚽,
45', Brigic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hafthorsson V. ↓, Kristjansson K. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Blondal E. ⚽, Kristjansson K. (A),
65', Jeffs L. ↓, Sigurdsson J. ↑,
65', Ingvarsson U. ↓, Erlingsson E. ↑,
67', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Ljubicic S. ↑,
67', Magnusson A. ↓, Ragnarsson E. ↑,
73', Gudmundsson S. ↓, Thorhallsson N. ↑,
78', Mudrazija M. ↓, Saevarsson G. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Kristjansson K. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Ragnarsson E. ⚽,
90', Ingason A. ↓, Sigurdsson V. ↑,
90+4', Ragnarsson E. 🟥,
90+5', Elvarsson F. ↓, Gissurarson R. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Keflavík may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Throttur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).
Watch
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Gudmundsson T. (G) 
Brigic M. 
Heras N. 
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