Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Leioa		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.25	1.72
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4	3.35	1.77
	4.5	3.2	1.8
	4.5	3.34	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (4.88)	3.33 ↓ (3.6)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
20.8%

Draw
27.4%

Racing Santander
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

20.9%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Santander could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leioa - Racing Santander Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Postponed due to safety reasons.

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group)).

Leioa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Leioa have a series of guest games.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leioa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.11.20	Alavés B - Leioa	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leioa	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
19.11.20	Las Rozas - Leioa	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.11.20	Portugalete - Leioa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL
- Racing Santander
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.11.20	Racing Santander - Barakaldo	3:0 ✺
21.11.20	Laredo - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Racing Santander - Alavés B	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Athletic Bilbao B - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Racing Santander - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.04.19	Leioa - Racing Santander	1:1
09.12.18	Racing Santander - Leioa	2:0
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Leioa - Racing Santander	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.02.18	Racing Santander - Leioa	0:0
17.09.17	Leioa - Racing Santander	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.08.17	Leioa - Racing Santander	2:1

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