Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 9

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Leiston		St Ives Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.45	2.68
	2.31	3.62	2.63
	2.29	3.36	2.66
	2.28	3.33	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 (2.28)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	2.7 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
39.9%

Draw
26.4%

St Ives Town
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

St Ives Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

Leiston - St Ives Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Williams J. ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, Fowkes B. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Rangel J. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Hadi A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2.

Leiston is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, St Ives has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leiston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Leiston - Harborough Town	2:2 ✺
09.09.25	Bishops Stortford - Leiston	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Leiston - Quorn	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Needham Market - Leiston	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Leiston - Redditch United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWLWW
- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	St Ives Town - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - St Ives Town	0:4 ✺
25.08.25	St Ives Town - Real Bedford	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Harborough Town - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
11.02.25	Leiston - St Ives Town	2:2
16.11.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3
06.01.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	5:0
12.09.23	Leiston - St Ives Town	1:1
28.01.23	Leiston - St Ives Town	1:0
13.09.22	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:2
05.02.22	St Ives Town - Leiston	2:1

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