Match Info
Southern League Premier Central - Round 22Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday
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Leiston |
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Alvechurch |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.35 |
3.4 |
2.52 |
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2.33 |
3.88 |
2.62 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
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2.27 |
3.55 |
2.56 |
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2.28 |
3.8 |
2.57 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.87) |
3.59 ↓
(3.79) |
2.55 ↓
(3.58) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leiston
39.3% | Draw
25.3% | Alvechurch
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiston's form might have worsened.Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvechurch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvechurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Leiston - Alvechurch Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Alvechurch (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvechurch (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Tope ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Tope ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 2, Blois R. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 2, Fowkes B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 2 - 3, Willis J. ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Fraser A. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2.Leiston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Alvechurch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Alvechurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
Alvechurch: 2.63% Leiston: 0.39%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
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| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Alvechurch - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 25.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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