Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 8

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Lemense FC		Penapolense

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.92	3.15
	2.3	2.84	3.26
	2.25	2.7	3.2
	2.28	2.79	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.14)	2.81 ↓ (3.09)	3.22 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lemense FC
39.9%

Draw
32.1%

Penapolense
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lemense FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Lemense FC - Penapolense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lemense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Penapolense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lemense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lemense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Lemense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.02.26	Comercial SP - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Nacional SP - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lemense FC - Taquaritinga	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Lemense FC - Inter de Bebedouro	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Araçatuba - Lemense FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWW
- CA Penapolense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.02.26	Penapolense - VOCEM	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Taquaritinga - Penapolense	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	São Caetano - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Penapolense - ECUS	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Tanabi - Penapolense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.02.20	Lemense FC - Penapolense	2:1

Lemense FC - Penapolense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide