Match Info
Paulista A4 - Round 7Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Comercial SP |
|
Lemense FC |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3 |
3 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.22 |
3.21 |
2.12 |
|
 |
3 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3.13 |
2.11 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.98) |
3.06 ↑
(3.05) |
2.16 ↓
(2.29) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Comercial SP
28.9% | Draw
29.4% | Lemense FC
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Lemense FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Comercial SP - Lemense FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).Recent form of Comercial SP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Lemense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Comercial SP - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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