Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
|
 |
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 |
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Lenense |
|
Ceares |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.3 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.54 |
2.72 |
|
 |
5.54 |
3.96 |
1.54 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
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2.22 |
3.42 |
2.79 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.47) |
3.5 ↑
(3.41) |
2.51 ↑
(2.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lenense
33.5% | Draw
27.7% | Ceares
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-3.3%)Lenense - Ceares Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 13', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 68', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 0.Lenense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Ceares is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.6:2).Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | Union Club Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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