Match Info

FNL - Round 4

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Petrovsky Stadium (Saint Petersburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leningradets		Sochi

	1	X	2
	5.02	3.84	1.72
	4.95	3.50	1.69
	5.01	3.76	1.66	Watch
	4.80	3.50	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↓ (5.35)	3.65 ↓ (3.83)	1.67 (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
18.8%

Draw
25.5%

Sochi
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

24.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

24.5%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Leningradets - Sochi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smirnov E. (G) 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 99. Emelyanov D. 44. Kalugin N. (C) 14. Kenfak O. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 32. Kulishev A. 5. Morozov K. 2. Nikolaev S. 6. Rodin D. 23. Stefanovich I.	35. Degtev A. (G) 8. Ignatov M. 6. Kuzmin M. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 17. Makarchuk A. 33. Marcelo Alves 11. Meleshin P. 5. Osipov A. 3. Soldatenkov A. 27. Zaika K. (C)
Substitutes
37. Isaev K. 78. Kiselev G. 96. Kuznetsov A. (G) 19. Maksetsov A. 9. Pershin M. 83. Petrov I. 52. Petukhov I. 7. Ukomskiy A. 11. Yakovlev D. 10. Zarypbekov E.	59. Bart R. 9. Fedorov Z. 13. Kalinin I. 18. Kaynov M. 66. Metsiev A. 60. Nosatiy M. 97. Pasevich R. 85. Silev D. (G) 44. Stojic N.
Coaches
Podpaliy S.	Osinkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Stefanovich I. ↓, Ukomskiy A. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Kulishev A. ⚽,
65', Kenfak O. ↓, Pershin M. ↑,
69', Meleshin P. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
69', Litvinov V. ↓, Kalinin I. ↑,
71', Rodin D. 🟥,
71', Ignatov M. 🟥,
71', Botaka-Yoboma E. 🟨,
72', Kuzmin M. 🟨,
74', Pershin M. 🟨,
74', Morozov K. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
79', Zaika K. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
79', Kuzmin M. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Kalinin I. (Own goal),
84', 2 - 1, Kalinin I. ⚽,
88', Pershin M. ↓, Kiselev G. ↑,
88', Botaka-Yoboma E. ↓, Isaev K. ↑,
90', Makarchuk A. ↓, Pasevich R. ↑,
90+2', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Leningradets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sochi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Leningradets has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sochi is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leningradets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Leningradets: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	7	23
13	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
26.07.26	Leningradets - Ural	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Shinnik - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Ufa - Leningradets	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Zenit - Leningradets	4:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
13.06.26	Veles Moscow - Leningradets	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLLT
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
26.07.26	Sochi - Arsenal Tula	5:0 ✺
19.07.26	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Shinnik - Sochi	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.07.24	Sochi - Leningradets	1:1
06.07.23	Sochi - Leningradets	4:1

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