The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lentigione 68.5%
Draw 21.5%
Fiorenzuola 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.1%
21.2%
9.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.4%
20.2%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Lentigione - Fiorenzuola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Tringali S. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Alessandrini S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Bran (Own goal),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lentigione won 2.
Lentigione is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Fiorenzuola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Lentigione is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Lentigione to win the game is with odds 1.33.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Lentigione won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Lentigione won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
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