Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. LIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday

Location: Donawitz Stadium (Leoben)

Referee: Greinecker M. (Aut)


	Leoben		First Vienna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.89	3.69
	1.96	3.8	3.48	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.82)	3.76 ↓ (3.9)	3.47 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leoben
48.2%

Draw
24.9%

First Vienna
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leoben has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

First Vienna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leoben than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for First Vienna than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Leoben - First Vienna Predictions

Users Predictions: Leoben will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Pelko Z. (C) 23. Weberbauer J. 17. Wild E. 13. Umjenovic S. 2. Turi J. 18. Untergrabner M. 10. Lema M. 5. Horvat M. 30. Friesenbichler K. 9. Hirschhofer T. 22. Amoah W.	1. Gremsl A. (G) 4. Luxbacher D. 5. Steiner N. 8. Luxbacher B. (C) 9. Peham D. 10. Ochs P. 11. Bumbic C. 12. Tanzmayr M. 13. Omerovic A. 15. Kreuzhuber T. 25. Bauer J.
Substitutes
19. Alar D. 77. Eskinja J. 27. Freissegger F. 20. Halper C. 71. Maier T. 24. Perthel T. 21. Wiegele F. (G)	14. Boateng K. 33. Ecker M. (G) 77. Edelhofer L. 17. Kitenge J. 7. Monschein C. 6. Sanogo M. 18. Wunsch N.
Coaches
Jancker C.	Zellhofer A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Leoben is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

First Vienna is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leoben will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DSV Leoben
Austrian 2 Liga
18.08.23	Ried - Leoben	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Leoben - Amstetten	1:0 ✺
04.08.23	Stripfing - Leoben	1:4 ✺
28.07.23	Leoben - Horn	3:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
23.07.23	ATUS Ferlach - Leoben	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW
- First Vienna FC
Austrian 2 Liga
18.08.23	Horn - First Vienna	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	First Vienna - Grazer AK	2:3 ✺
06.08.23	First Vienna - Sturm Graz B	2:2 ✺
28.07.23	Bregenz - First Vienna	2:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
21.07.23	ASK Voitsberg - First Vienna	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLW

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