Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Leones		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.85	3.25	1.92
	4.27	3.3	1.92
	3.29	3.35	2.11	Watch
	3.97	3.26	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.45)	3.25 ↑ (3.09)	2 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
24.7%

Draw
28.6%

Atlético Huila
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29.7%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Huila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leones - Atlético Huila Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Atlético Huila (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Huila (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Arboleda J. (G) 10. Ceballos A. 6. Fruto R. 3. Marmolejo D. 18. Martinez J. 5. Meneses G. 14. Mosquera D. 11. Palacios L. 16. Renteria J. 19. Romero J. 20. Ruiz J.	22. Mendez J. (G) 11. Castro B. 9. Duarte O. 2. Lozano J. 32. Mena H. 27. Navas K. 14. Ordonez J. 28. Rodriguez F. 4. Rodriguez J. 19. Sequeda Arroyo M. 16. Villa D.
Substitutes
21. Gomez S. 17. Gonzalez A. 1. Holguin C. (G) 31. Ibarguen Cuesta J. 24. Londono Mesa E. 26. Rodas B. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C. 2. Torres J. 25. Urrea J.	12. Baldovino C. (G) 3. Ferrer D. 7. Hernandez S. 30. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 6. Mejia A. 17. Montes J. 18. Salguero Zapata C. S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Sequeda Arroyo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Duarte O. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Torres J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 0.

Leones is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Huila is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Huila may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Huila will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leones won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Huila - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.68%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
20.09.25	Leones - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Deportes Quindío - Leones	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Internacional de Palmira - Leones	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Leones - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera B
22.09.25	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Huila	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Atlético Huila - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:1 ✺
08.09.25	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Huila	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Atlético Huila - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Orsomarso - Atlético Huila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
20.04.25	Atlético Huila - Leones	2:0
01.09.24	Atlético Huila - Leones	2:1
18.03.24	Leones - Atlético Huila	1:2
12.09.22	Leones - Atlético Huila	2:2
07.03.22	Atlético Huila - Leones	1:1
02.05.21	Atlético Huila - Leones	0:2
28.04.21	Leones - Atlético Huila	1:1

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