The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones 19.4%
Draw 25.6%
Patriotas 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
27.9%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
26.8%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones's form might have worsened.
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patriotas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patriotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones - Patriotas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Arboleda J. (G) 10. Ceballos A. 6. Fruto R. (C) 3. Marmolejo D. 18. Martinez J. 5. Meneses G. 14. Mosquera D. 11. Palacios L. 16. Renteria J. 19. Romero J. 20. Ruiz J.
12. Espitia J. (G) 24. Aristizabal Juan 19. Figueroa F. 33. Garavito M. 4. Hurtado J. 11. Londono Y. 6. Perea V. 22. Porras C. 39. Renteria L. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A. 27. Sarria E.
Substitutes
32. Benitez J. 21. Gomez S. 17. Gonzalez A. 1. Holguin C. (G) 31. Ibarguen Cuesta J. 24. Londono Mesa E. 29. Ospina J. 2. Torres J. 25. Urrea J.
18. Angulo J. 25. Cifuentes A. 15. Conejero D. 8. Copete C. 34. Macea A. (G) 28. Rivas R. 31. Zorro J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mosquera D. 🟨,
27', Garavito M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Hurtado J. 🟨,
56', Ceballos A. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
59', Sarria E. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
67', Aristizabal Juan ↓, Conejero D. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Garavito M. (Pen),
72', Rivas R. 🟥,
73', Romero J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
73', Mosquera D. ↓, Ibarguen Cuesta J. ↑,
82', Renteria L. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
82', Londono Y. ↓, Copete C. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', Espitia J. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Leones has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Patriotas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Patriotas is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Colombia
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Watch
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Arboleda J. (G) 
Figueroa F. 
Ospina J. 
Conejero D. 
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