The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones 29.6%
Draw 30%
Patriotas 40.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
29%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
28.4%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones's form might have worsened.
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Leones - Patriotas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa J. (G) 27. Castano J. 30. Granados R. 5. Meneses G. (C) 3. Moreno J. 16. Renteria J. 22. Restrepo J. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C. 21. Segura O. 29. Soto T. 8. Villa D.
26. Macea A. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 25. Bello Vivas S. E. 7. Campana J. 8. Copete C. 19. Figueroa F. 4. Hurtado J. (C) 22. Porras A. 21. Renteria L. 6. Torres F. 5. Zapata E.
Substitutes
12. Arboleda J. (G) 25. Calle T. 35. Echeverry J. 15. Martinez J. 19. Martinez J. 24. Montoya S. 23. Pacheco L. 32. Pasos E. 10. Sanches L.
20. Arango E. 2. Carabali 12. Colombiano (G) 16. Molina T. 3. Montien D. 11. Mora A. 38. Ruiz J. 24. Sarmiento J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Bello Vivas S. E. ↓, Carabali ↑,
40', Hurtado J. 🟨,
43', Moreno J. 🟨,
45+2', Renteria L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Carabali 🟨,
62', Castano J. ↓, Montoya S. ↑,
62', Segura O. ↓, Pacheco L. ↑,
65', Zapata E. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
65', Copete C. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
65', Campana J. ↓, Arango E. ↑,
69', Soto T. 🟨,
69', Torres F. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
69', Granados R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
70', Soto T. ↓, Sanches L. ↑,
71', Pacheco L. 🟨,
77', Ruiz J. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Meneses G. ⚽,
87', Rodriguez Cespedes C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 5th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Patriotas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Leones has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leones against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.3:0.7 per game).
Colombia
Usa
Watch
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Figueroa J. (G) 
Figueroa F. 
Sanches L. 
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