The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Internacional de Palmira 60.5%
Draw 24.2%
Leones 15.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.5%
27.6%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
22.6%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional de Palmira's performance.
Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-20%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional de Palmira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Internacional de Palmira - Leones Predictions
Users Predictions:
Internacional de Palmira will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Cuesta W. (G) 25. Alvarez A. 13. Angulo J. 4. Ariza Y. 23. Correa R. 19. Gonzalez K. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 14. Orozco D. 11. Padilla Kevin 5. Rodallega R. 80. Suarez H.
1. Figueroa J. (G) 35. Echeverry J. 33. Lopez Posada I. 19. Martinez J. 15. Martinez J. 5. Meneses G. 16. Renteria J. 18. Restrepo N. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C. 29. Soto T. 8. Villa D.
Substitutes
28. Abonia J. 9. Brochero R. 15. Maturana J. 21. Moreno J. 7. Mosquera J. 18. Mosquera J. 1. Perez A. (G) . Popo J. 34. Velez E.
12. Arboleda J. (G) 13. Arboleda M. 9. Bonilla J. 27. Castano J. 30. Granados R. 24. Montoya S. 3. Moreno J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Martinez J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Gonzalez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Arboleda M. ↑,
46', Soto T. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
59', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
61', Orozco D. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
61', Rodallega R. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
64', Martinez J. ↓, Granados R. ↑,
64', Echeverry J. ↓, Montoya S. ↑,
66', Arboleda M. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
77', Alvarez A. 🟨,
81', Bonilla J. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 3.
In recent outings, Inter Palmira has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Leones has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Inter Palmira may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Inter Palmira is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Inter Palmira has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:24 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Inter Palmira against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.8 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Inter Palmira
14
4
4
6
10:15
-5
16
15
Leones
14
3
5
6
11:20
-9
14
Last Results with these Odds
Leones - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 22.96%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Cuesta W. (G) 
