Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Leones		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.21	3.1	3.49
	2.18	3.14	3.43	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.3
	2.11	2.99	3.44	Watch
	2.16	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.81)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	3.41 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
42.6%

Draw
30.5%

Bogotá
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones's form might have worsened.

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Leones - Bogotá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leones will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bogotá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Arboleda J. (G) 6. Fruto R. (C) 9. Gomez C. 3. Marmolejo D. 8. Martinez J. 5. Meneses G. 15. Pena J. 26. Posada S. 16. Renteria J. 20. Ruiz J. 21. Segura O.	29. Aguilar A. (G) 14. Alfonso A. 36. Canizalez S. 99. Castillo D. 10. Castro B. 32. Gutierrez A. 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 30. Moreno F. (C) 33. Perez J. 5. Sanchez J. 11. Sandoval Lasso H.
Substitutes
28. Hincapie J. 23. Hinestroza B. 1. Holguin C. (G) 24. Montoya S. 13. Moreno D. 19. Munoz J. 2. Sanchez Y.	22. Buelvas A. 6. Castro K. 2. Hinestroza L. 16. Jefferson R. 28. Medina M. 7. Mosquera C. 1. Osorno J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Sanchez J. 🟨,
41', Segura O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Posada S. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
46', Segura O. ↓, Montoya S. ↑,
66', Sandoval Lasso H. 🟨,
66', Munoz J. 🟨,
66', Gomez C. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
68', Sandoval Lasso H. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
69', Renteria J. 🟨,
69', Alfonso A. 🟨,
73', Alfonso A. ↓, Castro K. ↑,
79', Pena J. ↓, Hincapie J. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Castillo D. ⚽,
85', Martinez J. ↓, Hinestroza B. ↑,
86', Castro B. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Marmolejo D. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 2.

Leones is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12
15	Leones	11	2	4	5	8:17	-9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
01.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Leones	3:0 ✺
26.01.26	Leones - Tigres	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Bogotá - Leones	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Leones - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Leones	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWL
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
30.01.26	Bogotá - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Unión Magdalena - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Bogotá - Leones	0:1 ✺
20.10.25	Tigres - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.10.25	Bogotá - Leones	0:1
Colombian Copa
03.06.25	Bogotá - Leones	0:0
Colombian Primera B
17.05.25	Leones - Bogotá	3:0
27.09.24	Leones - Bogotá	1:1
27.04.24	Bogotá - Leones	2:2
16.09.23	Leones - Bogotá	1:0
10.04.23	Bogotá - Leones	4:3

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