Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports


	Leonesa		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.1
	3.2	3.4	2.08	Watch
	3.35	3.67	2.2
	3.23	3.43	2.16	Watch
	3.28	3.54	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.92)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	2.13 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
28.9%

Draw
27%

Almería
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Leonesa - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Almería will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 50%). Almería (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Almería (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Almería (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Almería (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 25%). Almería (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 5. Fornos Q. 36. Barzic M. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 20. Tresaco R. 14. Bicho 28. Ojeda T. 33. Larios J. 7. Collado D. 10. Chacon L. 18. Paraschiv D.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 21. Chumi (C) 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 8. Gui Guedes 17. Lopy D. 12. Leo Baptistao 11. Arribas S. 23. Embarba A. 7. Lazaro
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 29. Choco A. 24. Garcia V. 8. Gonzalez P. 9. Justo M. 6. Maestre S. 2. Ortega G. 22. Pibe 26. Rafus A. (G) 34. Sanchez J. 31. Toca N.	20. Centelles A. 5. Clua S. 29. Dzodic S. 32. Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 6. Horta A. 30. Lopez J. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 19. Soko P.
Coaches
Llona R.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+5', Lopy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Tresaco R. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
65', Collado D. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
66', Fornos Q. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
66', Tresaco R. ↓, Pibe ↑,
66', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
76', Lazaro ↓, Soko P. ↑,
76', Lopy D. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
77', Barzic M. ↓, Toca N. ↑,
85', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
90+3', Embarba A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
90+3', Gui Guedes ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
90+11', Puigmal A. 🟨,

Preview

Leonesa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.

Almería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Diallo Selu M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Almería: Monte N. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
15.08.25	Burgos - Leonesa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Real Avilés - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Real Oviedo - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
18.08.25	Almería - Albacete Balompié	4:4 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2 ✺
08.08.25	Elche - Almería	1:0 ✺
31.07.25	Marbella - Almería	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Almería - Al-Jazira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Leonesa - Almería	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
24.02.18	Almería - Leonesa	2:1
29.09.17	Leonesa - Almería	0:0

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