Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 14Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Leonesa B |
|
Palencia CA |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.85 |
2.98 |
1.92 |
|
 |
3.88 |
3.06 |
1.94 |
|
 |
3.94 |
3.08 |
1.97 |
|
 |
3.81 |
2.97 |
1.99 |
|
 |
4 |
3 |
1.93 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(3.85) |
3.02
(3.02) |
1.95 ↓
(1.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leonesa B
23.3% | Draw
30.1% | Palencia CA
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Leonesa B - Palencia CA Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Dominguez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 76', 2 - 0, Morante A. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Recently, Leonesa B has had a series of away games. In this match, Palencia CA is seen as the favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Palencia CA - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 01.05.25 | Leonesa B - Palencia CA | 2:3 | | 21.12.24 | Palencia CA - Leonesa B | 1:1 | | 13.04.24 | Palencia CA - Leonesa B | 1:1 | | 25.11.23 | Leonesa B - Palencia CA | 0:2 | | Club Friendly | | | 21.08.21 | Leonesa B - Palencia CA | 1:1 |
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