Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 27

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Lerines		Cantolagua

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	2.81	3.05	2.37
	2.81	3.05	2.37
	2.78	3.22	2.35
	2.8	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.07)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lerines
32.5%

Draw
28.7%

Cantolagua
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

31.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

33.2%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lerines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Cantolagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lerines than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolagua than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Esparza U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

Lerines is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cantolagua is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cantolagua could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lerines won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lerines
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
23.03.24	Bidezarra - Lerines	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Lerines - Lagunak	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Ardoi - Lerines	4:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lerines - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Huarte - Lerines	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TWLWW
- CD Cantolagua
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
16.03.24	Cortes - Cantolagua	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Cantolagua - Peña Sport	4:4 ✺
02.03.24	Cantolagua - Bidezarra	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Lagunak - Cantolagua	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Cantolagua - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
12.11.23	Cantolagua - Lerines	4:1

Lerines - Cantolagua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide