Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Lesotho		Kenya

	1	X	2
	4.48	3.47	1.83
	4.32	3.05	1.94	Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.85
	4.6	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.4)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	1.9 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lesotho
22.4%

Draw
28.3%

Kenya
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.6%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lesotho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Kenya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Lesotho - Kenya Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lesotho will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kenya will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kenya: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Falene I. Bantu 10. Fothoane L. Township Rollers 3. Koaeane K. 7. Letsema T. Sekhukhune 22. Makha T. Karela 20. Makhele T. Siwelele 1. Mofoka L. 21. Mokokoane R. Defence Force 14. Moloi M. Defence Force 9. Motebang S. Royal AM 8. Rapuleng K. Majantja	1. Faruk S. (G) St. Georges 7. Bajaber M. Simba 22. Obiero Z. Leyton Orient 6. Odada R. FC UTA Arad 2. Odhiambo F. Mahia 19. Oduor C. Bradford City 24. Omondi B. S. Mahia 16. Onyango R. Sogndal 9. Ouma L. SJK Akatemia 4. Owino S. Mahia 8. Wilson S. AIK

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Odhiambo F. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Makhele T. ⚽,
72', 🟨,

Preview

Lesotho is ranked FIFA: 145. Kenya is ranked FIFA: 111.

Kenya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kenya is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lesotho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lesotho
Africa Cup of Nations
29.03.26	Lesotho - Seychelles	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Seychelles - Lesotho	0:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	Lesotho - Zimbabwe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLTW
- Kenya
Friendly
03.06.26	Kyrgyzstan - Kenya	Canceled ✺
FIFA Series
30.03.26	Grenada - Kenya	0:3 ✺
27.03.26	Kenya - Estonia	1:2 penalties ✺
Friendly
14.11.25	Kenya - Equatorial Guinea	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Ivory Coast - Kenya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
03.08.14	Kenya - Lesotho	0:0
20.07.14	Lesotho - Kenya	1:0

Lesotho - Kenya