Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Preliminary - Final

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Stadium (Free State) (Bloemfontein) 🌤️ ...


	Seychelles		Lesotho

	1	X	2
	7.9	4.15	1.43
	7.73	4.36	1.42
	7.25	4.65	1.41
	6.5	4.2	1.36
	6.71	4.87	1.5	Watch
	12	6.2	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.02 ↓ (12)	4.74 ↓ (6.2)	1.38 ↑ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seychelles
11.8%

Draw
19.9%

Lesotho
68.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

7.6%

14.8%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seychelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Lesotho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lesotho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Seychelles - Lesotho Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lesotho will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lesotho: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lesotho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lesotho (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lesotho (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Neutral location. First leg.

In this match, Lesotho is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seychelles won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seychelles
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Seychelles - Gambia	0:7 ✺
10.10.25	Seychelles - Ivory Coast	0:7 ✺
09.09.25	Kenya - Seychelles	5:0 ✺
03.09.25	Seychelles - Gabon	0:4 ✺
25.03.25	Burundi - Seychelles	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lesotho
Friendly
18.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	Lesotho - Zimbabwe	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Lesotho - Nigeria	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Benin - Lesotho	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
28.06.24	Lesotho - Seychelles	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
27.03.22	Lesotho - Seychelles	3:1
23.03.22	Seychelles - Lesotho	0:0
29.03.16	Lesotho - Seychelles	2:1
26.03.16	Seychelles - Lesotho	2:0

Seychelles - Lesotho