Match Info

AFRICA: COSAFA CUP - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport


	Lesotho		Zambia

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.83
	4.75	2.7	1.9
	4.96	2.92	1.93
	4.33	3.2	1.78
	4.3	3.38	1.88
	4	3.3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (5.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.67)	1.87 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lesotho
21.1%

Draw
29.7%

Zambia
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.7%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

25.3%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lesotho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Zambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zambia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lesotho than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zambia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zambia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Lesotho - Zambia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lesotho will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Zambia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zambia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Moerane S. (G) 17. Malane T. 8. Tseka K. 3. Makepe B. (C) 19. Rasethuntsa R. 6. Lebokollane L. 22. Lesaoana T. 11. Mokhachane N. 5. Bereng T. 15. Thaba N. J. 9. Motebang S.	1. Mwansa F. (G) 23. Mkandawire S. 21. Chabala M. 4. Kanguluma K. 13. Chishimba J. 19. Mulambia F. 15. Kapumbu K. (C) 7. Kampamba K. 11. Kangwanda A. 22. Moyela L. 10. Mashata G.
Substitutes
10. Fothoane L. 14. Lebina H. 7. Makha T. 20. Makhetha M. 21. Mokokoana R. 12. Mothala K. 23. Ratibisi T. (G) 1. Seahlolo M. (G) 18. Sefali T. 13. Senkoto R. 4. Toloane T.	18. Chabu V. (G) 3. Chepeshi B. 5. Katebe A. 8. Kosamu J. 14. Kwataine P. 6. Lumbiya O. 12. Milanzi H. 17. Mutale J. 9. Phiri A. 2. Pridei M. 20. Siankombo A.
Coaches
Notsi L.	Grant A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lesotho won 1.

Recent matches Lesotho is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zambia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Zambia is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lesotho won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lesotho
COSAFA Cup
14.07.23	Malawi - Lesotho	1:2 penalties ✺
12.07.23	Angola - Lesotho	4:2 ✺
10.07.23	Mozambique - Lesotho	0:1 ✺
07.07.23	Mauritius - Lesotho	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
17.06.23	Lesotho - Comoros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWWL
- Zambia
COSAFA Cup
14.07.23	South Africa - Zambia	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Seychelles - Zambia	2:4 ✺
09.07.23	Zambia - Comoros	2:1 ✺
06.07.23	Zambia - Malawi	0:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
17.06.23	Zambia - Ivory Coast	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
26.03.23	Lesotho - Zambia	0:2
23.03.23	Zambia - Lesotho	3:1
COSAFA Cup
08.07.21	Zambia - Lesotho	1:2
21.06.16	Lesotho - Zambia	2:3
FIFA World Cup
08.06.13	Zambia - Lesotho	4:0
24.03.13	Lesotho - Zambia	1:1

Lesotho - Zambia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide