Match Info

COSAFA Cup

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Bloemfontein)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4
World	FIFA+


	Malawi		Lesotho

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.25
	2.08	2.92	3.7	Watch
	2.13	2.99	3.76
	2.08	2.98	3.69	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.4
	2.09	2.88	3.66	Watch
	2.08	2.92	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.45)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	3.59 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
43%

Draw
31.6%

Lesotho
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malawi's performance.

Lesotho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lesotho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Malawi - Lesotho Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Malawi (votes: 2 - 50%). Lesotho (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.89) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -0.5 - Malawi (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Malawi (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Malawi (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lesotho (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chikooka G. (G) Silver Strikers 2. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 4. Paipi M. (C) Silver Strikers 5. Mpokera B. Big Bullets 3. Silwimba T. 19. Lungu W. Big Bullets 8. Singo Y. Big Bullets 21. Gumbo C. Big Bullets 7. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 9. Nkhoma Z. Kamuzu Barracks 11. Salima C. Big Bullets	1. Seahlolo M. (G) 17. Malane T. 5. Sefoli T. Linare 20. Makhele T. (C) Chippa Utd. 13. Matlabe F. 19. Matsau L. 4. Toloane T. Defence Force 10. Fothoane L. Township Rollers 11. Maile P. 9. Matamane K. Lijabatho 7. Letsema T. Upington City
Substitutes
6. Blessings S. Mighty Wanderers FC 16. Chimbamba R. (G) Big Bullets 10. Chirwa G. Mighty Wanderers FC 20. Jovinala A. 14. Kamwendo P. Mighty Wanderers FC 13. Kanjira O. Kamuzu Barracks 15. Mwansambo F. 17. Nkhoma C. Moyale Barracks 12. Nyirenda E. Mighty Wanderers FC	14. Limpho R. Majantja 23. Majoro N. (G) 15. Makha T. Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 22. Makhetha M. Lijabatho 12. Makuru T. Lioli FC 6. Masuoane T. Lioli FC 16. Mofoka L. 2. Mohapi M. 3. Mphaolole M. Lioli FC 18. Ntaitsane M. LCS 21. Posholi L. Lioli FC 8. Rapuleng K. Majantja
Coaches
Pasuwa C.	Notsi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toloane T. ↓, Rapuleng K. ↑,
46', Maile P. ↓, Makha T. ↑,
58', Paipi M. ↓, Jovinala A. ↑,
59', Nkhoma Z. ↓, Kamwendo P. ↑,
65', Makha T. 🟨,
72', Matsau L. 🟨,
73', Matamane K. ↓, Masuoane T. ↑,
74', Rapuleng K. 🟨,
78', Matlabe F. ↓, Posholi L. ↑,
78', Fothoane L. ↓, Ntaitsane M. ↑,
80', Ntaitsane M. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Ntaitsane M. ⚽, Masuoane T. (A),
88', Silwimba T. ↓, Chirwa G. ↑,
88', Lungu W. ↓, Blessings S. ↑,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Malawi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
African Nations Championship
11.05.25	South Africa - Malawi	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Malawi - South Africa	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Tunisia - Malawi	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Malawi - Namibia	0:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
08.03.25	Malawi - Comoros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLW
- Lesotho
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Rwanda - Lesotho	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	South Africa - Lesotho	2:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
28.12.24	Angola - Lesotho	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Lesotho - Angola	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Morocco - Lesotho	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
14.07.23	Malawi - Lesotho	1:2 penalties
06.07.22	Lesotho - Malawi	2:1
16.06.16	Malawi - Lesotho	0:1

Malawi - Lesotho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide