The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Levadia U19 39.1%
Draw 21.4%
Pärnu Vaprus U21 39.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.4%
21.8%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
21.6%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levadia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Pärnu Vaprus U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Pärnu Vaprus U21 aligns with the current prediction.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Babkin T. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Sonitsar H. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Kutsar K. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Sonitsar H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Levadia U19 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Pärnu Vaprus U21 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pärnu Vaprus U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Pärnu Vaprus U21 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Levadia U19 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 2.5:3 goals per game).