Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 19

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Levadia U19		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.10	3.85
	1.69	4.58	3.33
	1.66	4.50	3.25
	1.62	4.60	3.77
	1.9	3.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)	4.33 ↑ (3.85)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia U19
53%

Draw
20.9%

Tallinna Kalev U21
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

23.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

22.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia U19's performance.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Levadia U19 - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Aronson A. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Pormeister K. ⚽,
13', 2 - 1, Rodionov F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 3 - 1, Pocevicius J. ⚽,
87', 4 - 1, (Own goal),

Preview

Levadia U19 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kalev U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kalev U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Levadia U19 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Levadia U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	78:52	26	59
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia U19
Estonian Esiliiga B
04.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	Levadia U19 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
15.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	4:2 ✺
01.06.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna JK Legion	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:3 ✺
22.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tartu Kalev	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
23.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia U19	1:1
18.04.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia U19	0:5

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