Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 25

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday


	Pärnu Vaprus U21		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.00	6.75
	1.37	5.40	5.10
	1.29	6.27	6.67
	1.33	6.02	5.69	Watch
	1.30	6.20	6.72
	1.5	4.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.71)	5.77 ↑ (4.3)	5.91 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus U21
68.5%

Draw
15.9%

Tabasalu
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

20.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

20.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pärnu Vaprus U21's performance.

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tabasalu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus U21 than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pärnu Vaprus U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tabasalu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tabasalu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pold J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Kutsar K. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Kutsar K. ⚽,
42', 4 - 0, Orm R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 5 - 0, Keskula E. ⚽,
78', 6 - 0, Kutsar K. ⚽,

Preview

Pärnu Vaprus U21 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tabasalu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tabasalu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pärnu Vaprus U21 is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	14	4	12	95:62	33	46
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
20.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:2 ✺
03.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
19.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
20.08.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Tabasalu - Viljandi Tulevik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:8
11.04.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:2

Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tabasalu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide