Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 30

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Narva Trans U21

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.75	1.39
	1.74	4.50	3.10
	1.86	4.60	2.80
	1.82	4.55	2.80
	1.79	4.60	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (4.9)	4.6 ↓ (4.75)	2.67 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
40.4%

Draw
21.9%

Narva Trans U21
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

18.9%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

18.2%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev U21's performance.

Narva Trans U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (+27.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Narva Trans U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, Jose J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Miranda da Silva K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 1 - 2, Pavlov V. ⚽,

Preview

In recent outings, Kalev U21 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Narva U21 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Narva U21 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kalev U21 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 1:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kalev U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	71:36	35	63
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
14.09.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:3 ✺
11.09.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	7:0 ✺
30.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWT
- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
15.09.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tammeka U21	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Narva Trans U21 - Levadia U19	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	4:0 ✺
23.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans U21	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:0
22.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:3
04.04.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:1

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