Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 29

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Jõhvi Phoenix		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.40	3.60
	1.57	4.50	3.85
	1.69	4.82	3.17
	1.53	5.26	3.99
	1.67	4.75	3.10
	1.64	4.40	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	4.69 ↑ (4.6)	3.57 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jõhvi Phoenix
55.6%

Draw
19.2%

Tallinna Kalev U21
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

19.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

19.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jõhvi Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Radionov I. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Jaritsa E. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Radionov I. ⚽,
33', Tikhomirov A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 2, Lasn O. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Shashkov I. ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 3, Velikanov V. ⚽,

Preview

Jõhvi Phoenix is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalev U21's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jõhvi Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jõhvi Phoenix is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jõhvi Phoenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Jõhvi Phoenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Johvi Phoenix	30	17	3	10	71:68	3	54
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
10.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Levadia U19 - Jõhvi Phoenix	6:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
20.08.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWT
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
11.09.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	7:0 ✺
30.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
16.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:2
14.03.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:1

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