Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 21

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Location: Tobb Arena Levanger (Levanger)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Levanger		Egersund

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.25	3.7	2.6
	2.3	3.75	2.75	Watch
	2.29	4	2.78
	2.27	3.85	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.5
	2.3	3.82	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	2.7 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levanger
40.9%

Draw
24.6%

Egersund
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Egersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levanger than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levanger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egersund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	15.8%	52.6%

Levanger - Egersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Levanger will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Egersund will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Egersund: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saetra M. (G) 19. Pereira J. 5. Lorentsen H. (C) 2. Pollen D. 32. Sundnes S. 6. Saugestad S. 3. Bjeglerud W. 10. Aas J. 7. Hajdari E. 8. Teigen A. 11. Bojadzic S.	27. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 2. Midtskogen A. 3. Maeland B. 4. Falchener H. 12. Williams R. 22. Tadesse H. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 26. Salmon J. 15. Elvevold H. 99. Holtan J. 7. Lahne J.
Substitutes
9. Andersen G. 17. Bruseth A. 33. Dypvik R. (G) 14. Gunnes A. 22. Hagbo S. 21. Stakset H. S. 18. Ulstad K. 20. Wenneberg M.	5. Ghaedamini K. 19. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem F. 17. Halgunset I. 23. Hoiseth M. 31. Skjaerstein A. (G) 14. Staalesen J. 77. Voilas J.
Coaches
Ronning P.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Hajdari E. ⚽, Aas J. (A),
23', Bjeglerud W. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Lahne J. ⚽, Salmon J. (A),
42', Lahne J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Kjell A. 🟨,
55', Ronning P. 🟨,
59', Sundnes S. ↓, Gunnes A. ↑,
59', Bjeglerud W. ↓, Bruseth A. ↑,
66', Elvevold H. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
66', Salmon J. ↓, Halgunset I. ↑,
71', Bojadzic S. ↓, Stakset H. S. ↑,
71', Hajdari E. ↓, Hagbo S. ↑,
82', Halgunset I. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Hagbo S. ⚽, Stakset H. S. (A),
90+1', Hajdari E. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Levanger won 3.

Levanger is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Egersund is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Levanger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Levanger won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Levanger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levanger FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.08.24	Mjøndalen - Levanger	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Levanger - Vålerenga	1:4 ✺
14.08.24	Levanger - Mjøndalen	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Sogndal - Levanger	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Levanger - Bryne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTTL
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.08.24	Egersund - Moss	3:2 ✺
19.08.24	Raufoss - Egersund	4:1 ✺
11.08.24	Egersund - Start	3:2 ✺
03.08.24	Egersund - Sogndal	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Aalesunds - Egersund	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.05.24	Egersund - Levanger	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.09.21	Levanger - Egersund	0:1
22.08.21	Egersund - Levanger	0:1
16.08.20	Egersund - Levanger	3:5
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.09.19	Egersund - Levanger	1:3
12.05.19	Levanger - Egersund	2:0

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