Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov Stadium (Sofia)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Levski Sofia		PAOK

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.25	Watch
	3.25	2.65	2.3
	3.45	2.9	2.35
	3.45	2.85	2.23
	3.63	2.94	2.3
	3.38	3.06	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.26)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.27 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Levski Sofia
27.2%

Draw
32.1%

PAOK
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

29.5%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

30.6%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levski Sofia's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levski Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.1%	14.7%	66.2%

Levski Sofia - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Levski will win (votes: 13 - 19.1%). PAOK will win (votes: 45 - 66.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 55% – 77.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

Levski is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches PAOK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Levski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Levski have a series of home games.

Recently PAOK have a series of guest games.

PAOK will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.07.22	Levski Sofia - Spartak Varna	5:0 ✺
09.07.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.22	Levski Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	5:0
29.06.22	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1 ✺
25.06.22	Levski Sofia - AP Brera Strumica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW
- PAOK FC
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Standard Liège - PAOK	0:1
06.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - PAOK	2:2 ✺
02.07.22	Groningen - PAOK	2:1 ✺
29.06.22	Go Ahead Eagles - PAOK	0:4 ✺
Greek Cup
21.05.22	Panathinaikos - PAOK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLWL

Upcoming Matches