Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Greece	SKAI
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Panathinaikos		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.60	3.70	Watch
	1.98	3.40	3.60
	2.10	3.35	3.40	Watch
	1.98	3.50	4.16
	2.04	3.41	3.57	Watch
	1.95	3.40	4.00
	1.94	3.57	3.67	Watch
	1.92	3.30	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	3.44 ↑ (3.05)	3.71 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
47.5%

Draw
27.3%

PAOK
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panathinaikos's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panathinaikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Panathinaikos - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). PAOK will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - PAOK (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena I. (G) 2. Calabria D. 6. de Vrij S. (C) 55. Van Drongelen R. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 99. Garcia L. 22. Camara E. 20. Taborda V. 42. Kangwa K. 10. Andino S. 7. Tetteh A.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 6. Elustondo A. 5. Michailidis G. 13. Giannoulis D. 20. Zafeiris C. 7. Santamaria B. 14. Zivkovic A. 10. Pelkas D. (C) 22. Ali T. 27. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
44. Biniaris P. 12. Chaves L. (G) 9. Dessers C. 8. Jagusic A. 3. Katris G. 18. Kontouris S. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 26. Louza I. 21. Ounahi A. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 28. Pellistri F. 74. Rastoder E.	21. Baba A. 97. Bataoulas D. 2. Camara M. 52. Chatsidis D. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 47. Shoretire S. 11. Taison 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 16. Ugresic O.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Elustondo A. 🟥,
18', Pelkas D. ↓, Bataoulas D. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Taborda V. ⚽, Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Tetteh A. ⚽,
45+1', Bataoulas D. 🟨,
45+2', Taborda V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zivkovic A. ↓, Chatsidis D. ↑,
48', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Tetteh A. ⚽, Kangwa K. (A),
54', Tetteh A. 🟨,
58', Santamaria B. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
62', Taborda V. ↓, Dessers C. ↑,
62', Kangwa K. ↓, Louza I. ↑,
67', Tetteh A. ↓, Ounahi A. ↑,
69', Dessers C. 🟥,
75', Ali T. ↓, Taison ↑,
75', Zafeiris C. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
88', Camara E. 🟨,
90', Camara E. ↓, Biniaris P. ↑,
90', Garcia L. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Ugresic O. ⚽, Kenny J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 0.

Panathinaikos is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Panathinaikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Panathinaikos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P. (Injury) Ingason S. I. (Injury) Ounahi A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pantelidis P. (Inactive) Tsapras T. (Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Chalov F. (Knee Injury) Despodov K. (Toe Injury) Louchet T. (Inactive) Meite S. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Panathinaikos: 29.75% PAOK: 13.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	12:2	10	15
3	PAOK	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Cup
03.09.26	Panathinaikos - Niki Volos	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
31.08.26	Levadiakos - Panathinaikos	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Hradec Králové - Panathinaikos	1:2 AET ✺
20.08.26	Panathinaikos - Hradec Králové	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos	1:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTW
- PAOK FC
Greek Cup
02.09.26	PAOK - OFI	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.26	Atromitos Athens - PAOK	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Brann - PAOK	3:2 ✺
Greek Super League
23.08.26	PAOK - Levadiakos	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	PAOK - Brann	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
17.05.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:2
05.04.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	0:0
Greek Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0
04.02.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	0:1
Greek Super League
21.12.25	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0
09.11.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:1
27.04.25	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:1

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