Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Levski Sofia		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.00	3.10	Watch
	2.30	3.10	3.25
	2.00	3.20	3.70	Watch
	2.30	3.09	3.40
	1.41	4.41	7.90	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.35
	2.27	3.14	3.41	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.27)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	3.9 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levski Sofia
45.5%

Draw
29.8%

Universitatea Craiova
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	21.6%	13.7%

Levski Sofia - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Levski will win (votes: 33 - 64.7%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 7 - 13.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levski: 51.6% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 3 - 50%). Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Uni Craiova (19.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Uni Craiova (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -3 - Uni Craiova (71.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Uni Craiova (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. (C) 31. Serafimov N. 3. Maicon 47. Bouras A. 35. Serginho 19. Moubarik M. 7. Reinaldo 17. Everton Bala 11. Oko-Flex A.	21. Popescu L. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 28. Rus A. 6. Screciu V. 17. Mora C. 20. Cicaldau A. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 12. Etim M. 22. Elisor S. 10. Baiaram S.
Substitutes
20. Centelles A. 27. Kusso D. 78. Lukov M. (G) 4. Makoun C. 77. Raychev A. 22. Soula M. 28. Stoyanchov S. 18. Trdin G. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)	15. Badelj J. 8. Baluta T. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 19. Heriberto Tavares 30. Matei D. 7. Nsimba S. 18. Radulescu M. 90. Sava R. (G) 24. Stevanovic N. 23. Teles 31. Webster R.
Coaches
Velazquez J.	Coelho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Dimitrov K. ⚽, Serginho (A),
34', Romanchuk O. 🟨,
41', Neves A. 🟨,
41', Bancu N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moubarik M. ↓, Trdin G. ↑,
50', Everton Bala 🟨,
62', Elisor S. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
64', Oko-Flex A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
75', Baiaram S. ↓, Heriberto Tavares ↑,
75', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Baluta T. ↑,
79', Everton Bala ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
80', Etim M. ↓, Teles ↑,
90', Reinaldo ↓, Stoyanchov S. ↑,
90', Serginho ↓, Soula M. ↑,
90+1', Maicon 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Levski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uni Craiova is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Levski is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.07.26	Levski Sofia - Dunav Ruse	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Levski Sofia - Borac Banja Luka	4:0 ✺
07.07.26	Borac Banja Luka - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Levski Sofia - Radnik Surdulica	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Levski Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWT
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
18.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Romanian Super Cup
12.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - Universitatea Cluj	2:1 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.07.26	ML Vitebsk - Universitatea Craiova	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.26	Universitatea Craiova - Polissya Zhytomyr	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

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