The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lexington 49.9%
Draw 26.6%
Tampa Bay Sun 23.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
26.4%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
26.6%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Lexington - Tampa Bay Sun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Campbell R. (G) 12. Bourgeois A. 4. Pantuso A. 22. Steigleder R. 16. Elizabeth Brown A. 26. Murray K. 23. Vernis N. 11. Weinert M. 19. Johnson H. 15. Barry C. 18. Mccain A. (C)
1. Roque C. (G) 6. McNeill S. 4. Bessette V. 11. Hill K. 27. Guidry S. 10. Dale E. 5. Listro J. (C) 15. Hendrix B. 35. Nasello S. 37. Zade J. 9. Connors S.
Substitutes
66. Falla G. 35. Griffith S. 7. Josephson M. (G) 10. Midgley M. J. 20. Rajaee D. 28. Rohan C. 2. White H.
22. Goins P. 3. Kroeger S. 8. Raabe R. 19. Waldeck-Zierenberg T. 44. Wegener E. (G) 24. White K. 13. Zschuppe E.
Coaches
Kimura K.
Schilte-Brown D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Connors S. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 0 - 1, Dale E. ⚽, Bessette V. (A),
26', Kimura K. 🟨,
44', Pantuso A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Connors S. 🟨,
58', Nasello S. 🟨,
59', Weinert M. ↓, White H. ↑,
62', Mccain A. 🟨,
67', McNeill S. 🟨,
71', Nasello S. ↓, Zschuppe E. ↑,
72', Murray K. ↓, Griffith S. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Barry C. ⚽,
80', Vernis N. ↓, Rajaee D. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Griffith S. ⚽,
86', Dale E. ↓, Goins P. ↑,
86', Hendrix B. ↓, Raabe R. ↑,
89', Connors S. ↓, White K. ↑,
90', Zade J. ↓, Waldeck-Zierenberg T. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Bookmakers give the edge to Lexington for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Lexington has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:12 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lexington against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).