The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 41.9%
Draw 28.9%
Wigan Athletic 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
27.1%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
28.5%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leyton Orient's form might have worsened.
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wigan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
27.3%
45.5%
Leyton Orient - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Wigan will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wigan Athletic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 2. James T. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 3. Adaramola T. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 28. Clare S. 8. El Mizouni I. 7. O'Neill O. 10. Connolly A. 17. Koroma J.
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. 15. Kerr J. (C) 5. Sessegnon S. 7. Murray F. 27. Brenan T. 35. Francois T. 6. Weir J. 44. Hungbo J. 11. Costelloe D. 9. Saydee C.
Substitutes
22. Abdulai A. 15. Bakinson T. 33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 21. Moorhouse J. 4. Simpson J. 30. White J.
37. Asamoah M. 2. Mabaya I. 22. Mellish J. 10. Mullin P. 14. Trevitt R. 12. Watson T. (G) 8. Wright C.
Coaches
Wellens R.
Lowe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Carragher J. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Sessegnon S. (Own goal),
38', Sessegnon S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Brenan T. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
57', Clare S. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Koroma J. ⚽, Jaiyesimi D. (A),
67', Hungbo J. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
68', Costelloe D. ↓, Mabaya I. ↑,
68', Saydee C. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
81', Koroma J. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
85', Sessegnon S. 🟥,
87', Adaramola T. ↓, White J. ↑,
87', Connolly A. ↓, Moorhouse J. ↑,
90', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
Preview
Recent performances by Leyton Orient have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wigan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Leyton Orient will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Adams J.
(Knee Injury)
Rankine D.
(Inactive)
Smith M.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).