Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)


	Wigan Athletic		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.45	2.88
	2.31	3.64	2.88
	2.32	3.71	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.80
	2.32	3.48	2.84
	2.27	3.50	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.3)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
40.7%

Draw
26.3%

Mansfield Town
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Wigan Athletic - Mansfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Postponed due to international match.

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 24th in the Relegation - League Two and 17th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Wigan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wigan has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Wigan: Harris L. (Injury) Higgins A. (Inactive) Saydee C. (Inactive) Trevitt R. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Mansfield: Cargill B. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive) Russell J. (Inactive).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Wigan has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wigan against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Outrights of English League One for now

Mansfield: 1.24% Wigan: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Mansfield	8	3	2	3	12:14	-2	11
24	Wigan	8	1	1	6	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Mansfield Town - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.6%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Blackpool	3:2 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	0:4 ✺
02.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLW
- Mansfield Town
English League One
19.09.26	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Mansfield Town - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Bradford City - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Reading - Mansfield Town	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mansfield Town - Luton Town	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.04.26	Wigan Athletic - Mansfield Town	2:1
25.10.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1
04.03.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	0:0
English FA Cup
14.01.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	0:2
English League One
22.10.24	Wigan Athletic - Mansfield Town	1:2

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