Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leça		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.15	2.55
	2.71	3.13	2.52
	2.59	3.24	2.41
	2.6	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.27)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	2.51 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
34.9%

Draw
28.8%

Vitoria Guimarães B
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leça's form might have worsened.

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leça than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leça, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-5%)

Leça - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
70', 0 - 2, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Santos N. ⚽,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Guimarães B has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.05.25	Paredes - Leça	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Leça - Marco 09	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.04.25	Machico - Leça	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Leça - Guarda FC	6:2 ✺
30.03.25	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTWW
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.05.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	3:3 ✺
13.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Vianense	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Vila Real - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Joane	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLW

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