Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	11:00	Canal 11


	Leça		Marco 09

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.00
	2.08	3.05	3.2
	2.16	3.19	3.52
	2.27	3.17	3.19	Watch
	2.11	3.15	3.45
	2.12	3.3	3.41
	2.03	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	3.29 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
43%

Draw
29.1%

Marco 09
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Leça - Marco 09 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paiva M. (G) 41. Cassio Scheid 22. Coutinho A. 20. Ferreira R. 9. Fortes M. 14. Maneta D. 11. Mesquita B. 33. Pereira D. 8. Pereira N. (C) 10. Reis N. 23. Ribeiro D.	64. Martins T. (G) 23. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 77. Barrett R. 4. Chicao 8. Erivaldo 10. Garro L. 82. Guerrero J. 9. Ka (C) 14. Pedro P. 19. Ribeiro P. 2. Victor Thiago
Substitutes
88. Augusto T. 27. Daniel Bruno (G) 31. David Rebelo 6. Fortunato B. 29. Makala J. 18. Miranda M. 5. Nunes D. 16. Sousa S. 30. Torres Romario	18. Fernandes F. 17. Gata J. 6. Pacheco F. 35. Pedro J. 21. Pedrosa C. 32. Rego R. 11. Thalles 20. Traore B. 26. Ze Couto (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Pereira N. ⚽, Mesquita B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Araujo Guilherme J. L. ↓, Fernandes F. ↑,
46', Victor Thiago ↓, Traore B. ↑,
59', Reis N. ↓, Torres Romario ↑,
59', Fortes M. ↓, David Rebelo ↑,
71', Ka ↓, Thalles ↑,
71', Guerrero J. ↓, Pedrosa C. ↑,
72', Mesquita B. ↓, Makala J. ↑,
72', Pereira D. ↓, Fortunato B. ↑,
72', Coutinho A. ↓, Sousa S. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Ferreira R. ⚽, Cassio Scheid (A),
82', Fernandes F. 🟨,
87', Traore B. 🟨,
90+2', Pedro J. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Leça is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Leça has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leça against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco 09 - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.18%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Mortágua - Leça	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Trofense - Leça	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Leça - Fafe	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Leça	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Leça - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLT
- AD Marco 09
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Marco 09 - Maia Lidador	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Marco 09 - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	São João de Ver - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Varzim - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cinfães - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.05.25	Marco 09 - Leça	3:2
27.04.25	Leça - Marco 09	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	Marco 09 - Leça	0:1
29.09.24	Leça - Marco 09	0:0
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Leça - Marco 09	2:3 penalties

Leça - Marco 09