Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Liaoning Tieren		Guangdong Southern Tigers

	1	X	2
	15	4.75	1.25	Watch
	10	4.2	1.3
	12	4.5	1.25
	11	4.3	1.28
	13.06	4.74	1.31
	11	4.33	1.29
	11.75	4.9	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.97 ↑ (4.4)	4.53 ↑ (3.53)	1.28 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
7.7%

Draw
20.3%

Guangdong Southern Tigers
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

21.2%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liaoning Tieren's form might have worsened.

Guangdong Southern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Southern Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Southern Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Liaoning Tieren - Guangdong Southern Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Shenyang Urban is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guangdong Southern Tigers is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Guangdong Southern Tigers is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shenyang Urban won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
27.09.20	Zhejiang Professional - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
20.09.20	Guizhou - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
16.09.20	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWTL
- Guangdong Southern Tigers FC
Chinese Jia League
27.09.20	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Guangdong Southern Tigers	0:2 ✺
24.09.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Professional	2:2 ✺
20.09.20	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangdong Southern Tigers	0:4 ✺
17.09.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guizhou	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
13.09.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Liaoning Tieren	2:0

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