Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday


	Liaoning Tieren		Shaanxi Changan Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.78
	5.1	3.4	1.62
	4.3	3.2	1.77
	4.9	3.29	1.82
	4.4	3.2	1.75
	4.5	3.4	1.77
	4.3	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.57)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	1.76 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
20.1%

Draw
28%

Shaanxi Changan Athletic
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

28%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

27%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liaoning Tieren's form might have worsened.

Shaanxi Changan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shaanxi Changan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Changan Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Shaanxi Changan will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shaanxi Changan: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenyang Urban won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Shaanxi Chang'an will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Shenyang Urban won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Shenyang Urban won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
21.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	0:0 ✺
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
06.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTLWL
- Shaanxi Changan Athletic
Chinese Jia League
21.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Zibo Cuju	1:0 ✺
06.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
06.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	0:1
18.12.21	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:4
04.12.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	1:0
04.10.20	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	1:0
16.09.20	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:1
Chinese Yi League
22.09.18	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:0
16.06.18	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	1:1

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