The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liaoning Tieren 58.5%
Draw 25.6%
Jiangxi Lushan 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
28%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
23.9%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.
Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 23. Shiming L. 3. Chen Yangle 5. Lin Longchang 38. Song Chen 6. Duan Yunzi 10. Yang Jian 7. Shang Yin 19. Gao Haisheng 18. Chen Long 24. Musa S. I.
34. Ma Kunyue (G) 17. Xu Dongdong 7. Wu Linfeng 24. Du Junpeng 13. Zhang Yanjun 8. Xie Weichao 33. Kang Zhenjie 6. Song Ziwenhao 11. Brown T. 16. Hu Jiaqi 4. Zhu Mingxin
Substitutes
8. Geoffrey C. 2. Gui Zihan 4. Han Tianlin 37. Jiaming Z. 22. Kunimoto T. 13. Lei Yongchi 32. Mao Kaiyu 30. Qian Junhao 36. Tian D. 12. Wu Jiongde (G) 39. Yang Yu 21. Zhan Sainan
20. Cui Hao 18. Faye M. 12. Han Zhen (G) 15. Liu Zipeng 22. Song Jian 25. Wang Hongbin 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang
Coaches
Sun W.
Li Zheng
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Duan Yunzi ⚽,
15', Gao Haisheng ↓, Qian Junhao ↑,
17', 1 - 1, Kang Zhenjie ⚽,
19', Wu Linfeng 🟨,
36', Xie Weichao ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
40', Zhu Mingxin 🟨,
44', Xu Dongdong 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shiming L. ↓, Zhan Sainan ↑,
49', Musa S. I. 🟨,
52', Song Chen ↓, Lei Yongchi ↑,
61', Ma Kunyue 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Lei Yongchi ⚽, Zhan Sainan (A),
67', Lei Yongchi 🟨,
70', Song Ziwenhao 🟨,
72', Kang Zhenjie ↓, Zhang Xiang ↑,
72', Wu Linfeng ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
79', Song Ziwenhao ↓, Faye M. ↑,
84', Chen Long ↓, Kunimoto T. ↑,
84', Qian Junhao ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
87', Du Junpeng 🟨,
89', Zhang Yanjun 🟥,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Liaoning Tieren won 3.
Recent matches Liaoning Tieren is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Jiangxi Lushan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Liaoning Tieren could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Liaoning Tieren have a series of guest games.
In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Liaoning Tieren won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.
Watch
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Liu Weiguo (G) 
Musa S. I. 
Brown T. 
Kunimoto T. 
Faye M. 
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