Match Info

Jia League - Round 7

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.26	5.2	9	Watch
	1.29	5.49	8.3
	1.31	5.28	9.07	Watch
	1.44	4.1	5.75
	1.23	5.3	10.2	Watch
	1.26	5.2	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.63)	4.97 ↑ (4.14)	8.12 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
70%

Draw
18.6%

Shaanxi Union
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

21%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Shaanxi Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shaanxi Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaanxi Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Shaanxi Union will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 21. Nur Sherzat 3. Pan Ximing 5. Li Peng 28. Xu Dong 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.	28. Zhou Yuchen (G) 29. Mi Haolun 27. Reiner C. 24. Liang Shaowen 35. Chen Y. 17. Xu Dongdong 16. Wang B. 33. Tan Kaiyuan 38. Hu Mingtian 21. Wang Shijie 10. El Azrak R.
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 32. Mao Kaiyu 33. Sun Weijia 36. Tian Deao 25. Yang Jian 37. Zhang Jiaming 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun	1. Chen Junxu (G) 13. Darfalou O. 23. Li C. 18. Ruan Jun 4. Wang Weipu 14. Wei Minghe 22. Wei Yuren 8. Xie Zhiwei 36. Yan Yu 19. Zhang Yuxuan
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Franken G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tian Yinong ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
28', El Azrak R. 🟨,
37', Xu Dongdong 🟨,
44', Pan Ximing ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', Samuel A. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Gui Zihan ⚽, Xu Dong (A),
72', Wang Shijie ↓, Xie Zhiwei ↑,
72', Tan Kaiyuan ↓, Darfalou O. ↑,
82', Nur Sherzat ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
86', Wang B. ↓, Wei Yuren ↑,
87', Mi Haolun ↓, Yan Yu ↑,
87', Xu Dongdong ↓, Ruan Jun ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Wei Yuren ⚽, El Azrak R. (A),
88', 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Zhang Jiaming (A),
90', Kunimoto T. 🟨,
90+3', Mbenza G. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 13).

Liaoning Tieren is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shaanxi Union is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is a strong favorite.

We predict that Liaoning Tieren will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
26.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
22.04.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Juniors	7:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
27.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
22.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Shenzhen - Shaanxi Union	0:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLL

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