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Current Win Probability
Qingdao Red Lions 10.5%
Draw 20.9%
Liaoning Tieren 68.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
27.6%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
26.9%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.
Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Li Ya'nan (G) 15. Hao Yucheng 11. Sun Xipeng 16. Zhang Yixuan 23. Zhang Liang 37. Chen Hao-Wei 8. Jia Xiaochen 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 7. Nobrega J. 24. Song Runtong 9. Rivaldinho
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 37. Zhang Jiaming 5. Li Peng 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
31. Cao Xiaoyi 22. Iskandar B. 5. Liu Pujin 40. Pi Ziyang 43. Sheng Muze (G) 13. Tao Yuan 44. Wu Junhao 35. Zhang Shuai 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)
27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 32. Mao Kaiyu 21. Nur Sherzat 33. Sun Weijia 36. Tian Deao 25. Yang Jian 23. Zhang Zhibo (G) 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Ma Yongkang
Li Jinyu
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
8', Song Runtong ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
9', 0 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
20', 1 - 2, Nie Aoshuang ⚽, Nobrega J. (A),
45', 1 - 3, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Hao Yucheng 🟨,
65', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Tao Yuan ↑,
65', Hao Yucheng ↓, Wu Junhao ↑,
71', Tian Yinong ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
78', Nie Aoshuang ↓, Zheng Haokun ↑,
78', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
82', Kunimoto T. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
90+2', Zang Yifeng ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
90+2', Samuel A. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
Recent matches Qingdao Red Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Liaoning Tieren is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Liaoning Tieren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).
China
Watch
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Li Ya'nan (G) 
Chen Hao-Wei 
Nobrega J. 
Rivaldinho 
Kunimoto T. (C) 
Mbenza G. 
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