Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gran Mamore (Trinidad)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)


	Libertad Gran Mamoré		Always Ready

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.05
	3.4	3.65	1.98	Watch
	3.05	3.65	2.1
	3.3	3.62	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.9)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	2.08 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Gran Mamoré
29.4%

Draw
25.9%

Always Ready
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.9%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

24.3%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Gran Mamoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Gran Mamoré's performance.

Always Ready has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Always Ready might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Gran Mamoré that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Always Ready could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Always Ready Predictions

Users Predictions: Always Ready will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vaca M. (G) 22. Gil S. 5. Carillo G. 3. Zazpe L. (C) 4. Rodriguez D. 70. Torelli P. 8. Bejarano A. 26. Rodriguez R. 37. Salces M. 32. Mendoza M. 20. Fernandez D.	12. Roca Jimmy (G) 2. Medina D. 3. Vaca P. 24. Robles D. 6. Taborga Negrete E. 13. Cuellar H. 7. Herrera J. 18. Jairo J. 27. Martinez J. 17. Romero D. 25. Galindo M.
Substitutes
6. Aleman J. 53. Barbery Gil M. G. 30. Gomez Perez J. P. 23. Lemos M. 42. Montenegro L. 10. Oni F. 29. Ribera R. 9. Rios D. 97. Rodriguez F. 33. Sandy D. (G) 87. Tellez M. 16. Tomicha P.	38. Alanoca A. 5. Arce S. 9. De Lima M. 15. Flores Gutierrez W. 29. Galindo S. 39. Paniagua E. 40. Paniagua M. 50. Pereira F. (G) 30. Zenteno A.
Coaches
Pena J. E.	Villegas O.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3).

Libertad Gran Mamoré is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Always Ready is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Always Ready could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Libertad Gran Mamoré have a series of guest games.

Always Ready will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad Gran Mamoré won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Copa Pacena
11.07.23	Bolívar - Libertad Gran Mamoré	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.07.23	Vaca Díez - Libertad Gran Mamoré	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.07.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Real Tomayapo	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.06.23	Oriente Petrolero - Libertad Gran Mamoré	1:1 ✺
02.06.23	Aurora - Libertad Gran Mamoré	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTTL
- Club Always Ready
Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.07.23	Always Ready - Vaca Díez	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.07.23	Always Ready - Aurora	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.07.23	Nacional Potosí - Always Ready	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.06.23	Always Ready - Blooming	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Oriente Petrolero - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
10.02.23	Always Ready - Libertad Gran Mamoré	5:0

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