Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)


	Aurora		Libertad Gran Mamoré

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	13	Watch
	1.23	5.5	9
	1.2	6	10
	1.25	6.04	10.21
	1.2	5.25	11
	1.24	6.05	11.25	Watch
	1.24	5.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	5.84 ↑ (4.38)	10.64 ↑ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
75.5%

Draw
15.8%

Libertad Gran Mamoré
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

20%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.

Libertad Gran Mamoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Aurora - Libertad Gran Mamoré Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cardenas L. (G) 21. Ballivian R. 3. Barboza L. 29. Amarilla N. 15. Zaracho S. 8. Ramallo R. 27. Flores A. 26. Torrico D. 70. Serginho 18. Reinoso J. 7. Blanco O.	13. Vaca M. (G) 22. Gil S. 5. Carillo G. 3. Zazpe L. 21. Arriaga J. 26. Rodriguez R. 30. Gomez Perez J. P. 42. Montenegro L. 20. Fernandez D. 32. Mendoza M. 27. Taborga Y.
Substitutes
25. Abastoflor C. 5. Aguilar F. 99. Akologo D. (G) 14. Aranibar B. 11. Gomez M. 31. Michelli E. 20. Sanchez A. 23. Segovia J. 22. Taboada N. 30. Torrico D. 10. Torrico J. 28. Vaca O.	53. Barbery Gil M. G. 19. Medina A. 40. Mendieta O. 10. Oni F. 12. Paniagua R. (G) 9. Rios D. 87. Tellez M. 16. Tomicha P. 17. Vargas J.
Coaches
Pena Zuniga D.	Pena J. E.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Libertad Gran Mamoré could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Libertad Gran Mamoré have a series of home games.

In this match Aurora is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.05.23	Blooming - Aurora	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	The Strongest - Aurora	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Aurora - Royal Pari	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.04.23	Real Santa Cruz - Aurora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTTWW
- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Blooming	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
17.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Royal Pari - Libertad Gran Mamoré	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Guabirá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWLL

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