Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Licata		Mariglianese

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.87	3.92	3.17
	1.81	3.9	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.43)	3.81 ↑ (3.67)	3.4 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Licata
49.6%

Draw
23.8%

Mariglianese
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Licata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Licata's form might have worsened.

Mariglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariglianese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Licata than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Licata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariglianese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Licata - Mariglianese Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Licata will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mariglianese will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mariglianese: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Licata is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Licata won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Licata 1931
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.01.23	Catania - Licata	4:1 ✺
15.01.23	Licata - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
11.01.23	Santa Maria Cilento - Licata	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Castrovillari - Licata	0:4 ✺
21.12.22	Licata - San Luca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.01.23	Mariglianese - San Luca	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Ragusa - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Mariglianese - Trapani	2:1 ✺
21.12.22	Mariglianese - Santa Maria Cilento	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Mariglianese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
05.10.22	Mariglianese - Licata	0:0

Licata - Mariglianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide