Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Liepāja		Nõmme Kalju

	1	X	2
	2.49	3.26	2.52
	1.09	9.63	15.00	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.48	3.35	2.43
	2.57	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.76)	4.57 ↑ (3.62)	5 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
51.9%

Draw
25.1%

Nõmme Kalju
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.

Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme Kalju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Liepāja - Nõmme Kalju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Mannilaan M. ⚽,
42', 3 - 2, Mannilaan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 3 - 3, ⚽,
57', 3 - 4, ⚽,
59', 3 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Club Friendly
19.01.26	Liepāja - Paide LM	3:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
09.11.25	Super Nova - Liepāja	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Liepāja - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTW
- Nõmme Kalju FC
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Nõmme Kalju - RFS	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju	0:3 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	2:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Nõmme Kalju - Viimsi JK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.02.24	Nõmme Kalju - Liepāja	0:0
Latvian League Cup
31.01.17	Nõmme Kalju - Liepāja	4:1

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