The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju 55.5%
Draw 23.4%
Tammeka 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
21.4%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.1%
22.4%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju's form might have worsened.
Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tammeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
69. Pavlov M. (G) 46. Vukusic R. 50. Podholjuzin M. (C) 20. Tambedou M. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 26. Siht R. 8. Musolitin O. 59. Vastsuk B. 88. Sotsugov D. 11. Orlov M. 10. Ivanov N.
26. Lapa K. (G) 3. Pedro Manoel 17. Amijekori J. 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 23. Veelma P. 99. Hydara M. 7. Thomas Lisboa 24. Pedmanson H. 89. Kauan Pereira 19. Koskor T. 11. Muur R.
Substitutes
21. Baptista T. 52. Idalecio 30. Jabir I. 74. Jekimov F. 5. Korre U. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 22. Nikolajev A. 1. Perk H. (G) 7. Tarassenkov D.
28. Kallas R. 8. Kiidron K. 13. Laabus R. 22. Lang T. 12. Sahtel K. (G) 29. Silov R. 10. Uggeri G. 4. Vaino M.
Coaches
Andreev N.
Voolaid K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ivanov N. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Vastsuk B. ⚽, Orlov M. (A),
27', 3 - 0, Siht R. ⚽, Orlov M. (A),
27', Koskor T. 🟨,
31', 4 - 0, Sotsugov D. ⚽, Orlov M. (A),
34', Kauan Pereira 🟨,
39', 5 - 0, Ivanov N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kauan Pereira ↓, Uggeri G. ↑,
55', Muur R. ↓, Silov R. ↑,
58', Sotsugov D. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
65', Pedmanson H. ↓, Kallas R. ↑,
66', Orlov M. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
66', Borolinstsikov A. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
67', 5 - 1, Tambedou M. (Own goal),
70', Koskor T. ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
70', Kangaslahti O. ↓, Kiidron K. ↑,
85', Musolitin O. ↓, Jekimov F. ↑,
85', Ivanov N. ↓, Idalecio ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 4.
Nõmme Kalju has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tammeka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tammeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.3:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Kalju
29
15
5
9
52:27
25
50
5
Tammeka
29
14
2
13
37:47
-10
44
Last Results with these Odds
Nõmme Kalju - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 62.32%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Estonia
Usa
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Pavlov M. (G) 
Vukusic R. 
Podholjuzin M. (C) 
Tambedou M. 
Musolitin O. 
Pedro Manoel 
Amijekori J. 
Kangaslahti O. (C) 
Hydara M. 
Baptista T. 
Jabir I. 
Lotar Eyang E. E. 
Uggeri G. 
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